Beau of The Fifth Column
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Yes, there are assets in region to conduct special operations of a whole bunch of varieties.
Everything from demo jobs to snatching leadership or scientific personnel.
But there's also a list of assets that were moved that aren't needed for special operations.
Those assets suggest potential moves against islands or the coast.
There's the move against Karg Island, which would draw Iranian resources off the strait.
There are also islands in or close to the strait that the U.S.
might seize to try to protect the waterway.
Most experts suggest that would be self-defeating and intensify the fighting and risk in the Strait and the accompanying trade disruption.
But in particular, the U.S.
is probably looking at Larrick Island, where Iran has a lot of resources based.
And there's some disputed islands that the UAE also claims, which Trump would probably see as a way to hand off the fight after he starts it.
But the airborne capabilities also suggest maybe a move at taking over an airfield, or maybe a power plant or energy research facility.
The resources assembled for something more inland could actually be the resources for moving in and attempting to seize the uranium and the enrichment equipment Trump repeatedly claimed was obliterated.
It's impossible to know just which route they'll go with because there are no strategic objectives Trump wants to achieve.
he can't clearly articulate the military objectives, which leaves us with a wide range of variables.
Congress is acting like they're very concerned about what's going to happen to the troops put in harm's way.
But they've had a month and still can't explain the war, its goals, or why it's happening.
Most of Congress has given up on the troops as fast as they give up on their campaign promises.
The concern is just a show.
They have the power to stop the escalation anytime they want to, and they haven't.