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Ben Carlson

👤 Speaker
419 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

The minimums are effectively eliminated.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

You used to have to go down to a brick and mortar place and fill out some paperwork and write a check and wait a few days and then invest, and usually invest it based on whatever that broker told you to invest in.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

Now you can, on your smartphone, open an account, hook up your bank account, put some money in, invest within minutes.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And so I think for young people, breaking down those barriers to entry has been great.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And then you have this automatic investing revolution of money constantly going in, in 401ks, in brokerage accounts, in IRAs.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

Having a consistent buyer of stocks, that has to change the shape of valuations as well.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And that's something that's happened over the past 40 years or so.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And I think even in the past 10 years, the reduction in costs and the ease of access to the market have to change the valuations.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

That's why I think trying to time these things, this is a long-winded answer to explain your question, trying to time these things on valuations is very, because you have people who pick a line in the sand and go, all right,

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

I'll buy when it gets back to the historical average of 16 times earnings or whatever.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And then you realize, okay, that happened once in 2009 for like six months.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

And then it hasn't happened again since.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

Again, because that average is slowly but surely moving up.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

So I think trying to time based on valuations, it sounds really intelligent.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

Geez, stocks feel really expensive here.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

I'm going to sell.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

You could have made that same argument for the past 10 years every year.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

So I do think that trying to do that, you can use valuations to set expectations, I think.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

I think that's perfectly reasonable.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Ben Carlson on Why It’s Better to Avoid a Strikeout Than to Swing for a Home run

You know, valuations are way higher, as they should be, because we've been in a long bull market.