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Benedict Evans

👤 Person
866 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

It's telling people what's wanted.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

It's not just a signal of worth.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

It's a signal of demand.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

There's a fascinating book I read a while ago called Red Plenty, which is about Soviet central planning in the 60s, 70s, 80s.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And it's about sort of what happens when you have a central planning that just cannot cope with the level of complexity of a sophisticated economy in the 60s and 70s, as opposed to let's make grain and tractors and locomotives in the 20s and 30s and steel, which already kind of works.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

But once you actually have a sophisticated industrial economy, central planning can't handle the complexity.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And so you try and create incentives and structures around that while not having pricing.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And that just doesn't work.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

I suppose there's a sort of a generalized point, which is like a market economy is a system.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And if you pull a lever here, something will move there.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And you can't just pull a lever here and say, well, I don't want that to move because it's a democracy.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

It will move anyway.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And so you have to understand how the system works and understand what consequences you want from that and what your parameters are within this.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

It's funny, I have a draft thinking about what LLM is due to web search and publishing and discovery in e-commerce and big hand wavy fuzzy, all of that stuff.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And I was sort of thinking about this and there's a book written by a French academic sort of 20 years ago or something called How to Talk About Books You Haven't Read.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

which sounds very kind of snide.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

But kind of his point is that, like, there's the book you read when you were 17 and you really didn't get it.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And if you read it now, you'd get it.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

And there's a book that, like, he's got this kind of list of, like, there's the books that everybody else has read, so it's as though you've read them.

The Knowledge Project
Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans

There's the books that, like, you've read three other books by that writer, so you don't really need to read this one, too.