Benoit Faucon

and should dismantle its biggest nuclear enrichment facilities.

Iran should stop funding proxies and also reduce its missile program.

One thing that is a step up compared with the previous discussions is the fact that there would be a complete lifting of sanctions.

The oil embargo, the banking sanctions, I mean, that's really blocking sanctions.

a lot of Iran's trade and making whatever remains of that trade much more expensive and less profitable.

So that's kind of the best thing that Iran could get out of these negotiations.

The U.S.

is subject to push and pull pressure.

So you have countries like Qatar, whose liquefied natural gas exports have been interrupted by the conflict.

So it's catastrophic for them.

But there are other countries like Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates who feel that you can't really have an end to the war if Iran is not weakened militarily.

They don't want Iran to be able to attack its neighbors.

So they want Iran disabled and they want the Strait of Hormuz reopened.

Otherwise, they feel like it's going to really be a negotiation that effectively re-empower Iran and enable it to attack again.

The regime is kind of hankering down and closing ranks.

The fact they chose the closest replica to the father, which is the son, is significant in the idea that they basically...

don't want to change anything.

So all the possible options that always existed in the regime, either obviously a more conciliatory stance to the West, especially in the nuclear program, political opening, economic opening, that's unlikely to happen.

He's a very conservative clerical figure.

His connections are more with the clerical nationalist group, which is very much in support of supporting insurgencies in the Middle East.