Bjørn Lomborg

You can make...

Worst case scenarios for everything.

I'm not sure I would want to be able to argue that because it really requires you to have sort of very, very extreme parameter choices all down the line.

And so it's more, it's this kind of idea that we, that we hit some of these unexpected, uh, outcomes.

So for instance, uh, the Western Arctic ice sheet, uh, melts really, really quickly.

It doesn't look like that can happen really, really quickly, but let's just say that this could happen within a hundred years or something.

Uh, so we basically get what, um,

seven meters, what is that?

20 feet of sea level rise.

That will be a real challenge to a lot of places around the world.

This would have significant costs.

It's likely, and there's actually been a study that's tried to estimate, could we deal with that?

And the short answer is yes, if you're fairly well off.

If you're a Holland, you can definitely deal with it.

It's also likely that most

developing countries are going to be much closer to Holland towards the end of the century because they'll be much richer.

So they can probably handle it, but it will be a real challenge.

It is that all of your current infrastructure in a lot of coastal cities around the world that are literally built on, you know, Jakarta is a good example, that are literally built on the just, you know, inches above the sea level.

If you then get a sea level rise, that'll rise, say,

What would 20 feet, that would be like a third or a fourth of a foot every year.