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Brad Gerstner

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2921 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Remember, NVIDIA just did a huge deal with OpenAI.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

They didn't give away any of their company.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

In fact, they got the right to buy part of OpenAI.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So look at this chart.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

This is pretty wild.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Just in 2022,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

In 2022, two and a half years ago, Nvidia and AMD had basically the same revenue, $25 billion.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

This year, NVIDIA will do 10x that at roughly $210, $230 billion, and AMD will do $33 billion.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Not much more than they were doing when the companies were tied in 2022.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So NVIDIA has captured nearly 100% of the incremental AI data center revenues over the course of the last two and a half years.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And I think there's this notion that somehow NVIDIA just popped out this special AI chip.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

But I think if you listen to Jensen, understand, study the company, it's because they have this ecosystem of software, networking, extreme co-design, the unit of compute is no longer the chip, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

It's the entire data center, which is composed of five to 10 different chips.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Performance per watt, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Power being the constrained resource here is everything.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And NVIDIA has just crushed the competition.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So now put yourself in the shoes of Lisa.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And she's clearly not on the wave.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

This tsunami has come.