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Brad Gerstner

👤 Person
1234 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

I hear it every day on CNBC and Bloomberg.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And I think it goes to, you know, some of these questions around, you know, shortages leading to a glut that they don't believe.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

They say, okay, we'll give you credit for 26, but 27, you know, maybe we'll have too much and you're not going to need that.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

But it is interesting to me.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And I think it's important to point out

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

that your consensus forecast is that this won't happen, right?

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And we also put together a forecast for the company, taking into account all of these numbers.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And what it shows me is still, even though we're two and a half years into the age of AI, a massive divergence of belief.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

between what we hear Sam Altman saying, you saying, Sundar saying, Satya saying, and what Wall Street still believes.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And, you know, again, you're comfortable with that.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And because that may be four billion people on the planet today if you take TikTok, Meta into account, Google into account, who are already demanding workloads that are driven by accelerated computing.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Embedded in this assumption, I find it very fascinating in a historical context.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

For 2,000 years, basically, GDP did not grow.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Okay, and then we get the industrial revolution, GDP accelerates.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

We get the digital revolution, GDP accelerates.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And basically what you're saying, and Scott Besson has said it.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

He said, I think we're gonna have 4% GDP growth next year.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Basically what you're saying is the world's GDP growth is going to accelerate because now we are giving the world billions of coworkers that will do work for us.

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

And if GDP is an amount of output for a fixed amount of labor and capital,

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

It has to accelerate.