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Brayden Dennis

πŸ‘€ Speaker
634 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And they're having trouble doing it, too.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So I think what I'm showing here for a joint TCI is the backlog that's going to be realized in the next year.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Right.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And it's dropped from being in the mid 30s, high 40s, even in the 40s prior to their big backlog jump last year to low 40s.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Double digits, 10, 12 percent.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So what I think there is some risk of, OK, some of those backlogs, maybe some of the customers say like, OK, this is taking too long.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

We're just going to shift that somewhere else.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

I don't know how ironclad these contracts are or not.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So that is one of the risks.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And I mean, can they really execute?

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

We've been.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

You know, hearing more and more about bottlenecks, not in my backyards, that NIMBYs in terms of data centers being built, you know, the electricity that's required for that.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Like, will the percentage that they can fulfill in the next year, is that going to go up or is it going to trend down because of those bottlenecks?

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Like there's real questions on their ability to fulfill that.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Well, yeah, exactly.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And what we're seeing is these companies now have, like you mentioned, they have to issue equity, they're issuing debt to fulfill that.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And I'm just showing here, it's pretty amazing looking at this chart where you looked at the annual free cash flow compared to the CapEx spend, and they had been free cash flow positive for decades.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

I mean, I'm going back here.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

They spent $2 billion.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Prior to 2025, they had been cash flow positive since at least 2007.