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Brendan Dwyer

πŸ‘€ Speaker
162 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

I work with 18 to 24-year-olds on a daily basis, and I worry about their decision-making for anything they do.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

They have overconfidence and regulation issues to everything.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

And so when you add overconfidence and sports and money, it worries me even more.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

Uh-huh.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

because it's not just like going to Vegas.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

If you go to Vegas and you play specific games, there is some skill and luck.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

If you play blackjack, if you play poker, craps, there's more skill in those games than if you play roulette or a slot.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

Those are more luck-based.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

In sports,

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

you can have a much higher perception of the skill.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

You think you are smarter, you know more.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

And that enhanced illusion of control is what we call it, can be detrimental.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

That's a very good point.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

There is a feeling of wanting to have a stake and control in a certain situation that feels uncontrollable.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

And this has been a growing trend really since the late 90s, early 2000s, when fantasy sports really took off as an activity where it went from being a few hundred thousand people playing it to millions.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

Hmm.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

People didn't want to just be a passive fan anymore.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

They didn't want to sit on the couch and watch a game.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

They wanted to have increased action so that there is a game going on within the game and they're actually pulling the strings of that game within the game.

TED Radio Hour
How predictions took over our lives

Now we have betting in all the different ways.