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Brent Buchanan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
216 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

Then secondarily comes in usually grocery prices, and then you start to see housing come in, and then usually after that it's gas.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

I would imagine that with the large increase in gas prices in the last three weeks, that matrix has shifted itself.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

But I don't think that you're going to see it overtake groceries and healthcare.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

Now, you look at American opinions, but you also look at some polling in Europe.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

Well, they have a little bit different cost structure than we do because they pay a lot more in taxes.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

And so many of the things that we in America are used to paying for, like health insurance, are covered.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

But they pay higher taxes than that.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

They've not necessarily seen the same rise in grocery costs at the same rate that we've seen here in the U.S.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

I actually just had โ€“

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

friends at my house last night from the Middle East, and she was telling me that she was surprised at how expensive groceries are here comparatively every time she comes back to the States.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

Now, that being said, they get hit by energy costs a lot more, and that goes all the way back to the Ukraine war.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

And so this is probably more acute on Europeans, a change in the cost of

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

gas and liquid natural gas and other forms of energy, even more so than it is in the U.S., where we produce a massive amount of energy.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

And I think this is going to be an opportunity for American energy companies to shine and really build up and come out of this thing stronger, even with this minor blip in between.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

It's pretty hard to move somebody's opinion of the Trump administration.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

He is one of the hardest figures in America in the sense of you have a strong opinion, a very hard opinion one way or the other on Donald Trump.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

I think it's more so the sorting of who is interested or not interested in politics.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

So one thing โ€“

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

that I spent last weekend doing was looking at our presidential exit poll by demographic group and comparing that to our most recent March national survey and trying to understand where have Republicans slipped in the centrum, from coming out winning the national popular vote to being down a few points in the congressional generic ballot right now, and it is exclusively voters under the age of 55.

Morning Wire
Inflation, War, and Voters: What the Data Really Shows

It is almost exclusively voters making under $75,000 a year, and it is heavily weighted to non-college educated voters.