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Brian Armstrong

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1465 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And it's a high stakes moment for both of them.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

The other thing is like sometimes people criticize OpenAI like, oh, my gosh, they missed their their target, their end of year target to get a billion users or something like that.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

You know, internally, we all we often use like the OKR system and we we tell we tell everybody set uncomfortably ambitious goals.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And if you hit at least 70 percent of it, that's considered a good outcome.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

So whenever companies switch into the public mindset, they're often setting their goals start to become more like appropriate for external investors where, wow, we just hit our goals every quarter around here.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

You know, and so anyway, there's a lot of stuff like that that happens behind the scenes, I think.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

The high-level bit is what you guys already covered.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

They've got to get out just because that's what their competitors are doing, and that's where the capital is going to all go.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

So it's going to be uncomfortable and messy, and I'm a little worried about these valuations where retail is going to be the buyer of this.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And take the hit.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

Yeah, it could be pretty choppy here.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

You know, just because we talked about how AI is sort of taking all the oxygen out of the room, like selfishly, I think other tech CEOs are kind of like, all right, finally get these things public so there can be a real mark on it.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And maybe some of the hype dies down a little bit.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

I also think there's going to be fierce competition amongst these models because they keep, like the open source models are basically just as good and three to six months behind for like 99%.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

Yeah.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

And they're like literally 99% cheaper for inference.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

So I think the demand for intelligence is almost infinite.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

It probably is infinite, but the costs are going to fall like way more than Moore's law.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin, Anthropic Drops Fable 5 & Mythos 5, NewLimit's $435M Age-Reversal | EP #264

So, you know, is the harness that these guys are making, whether it's Codex or Claude, Claude code, are those valuable?