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Bryan Cantrill

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4238 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I love it. In fact, that's so utopian that this now has me bracing for impact on a potential dystopian.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I love it. In fact, that's so utopian that this now has me bracing for impact on a potential dystopian.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So is the prediction, and I'm also trying to square this with the Oscar winner, does the Oscar winner happen right before we set them on fire and go out about them?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So is the prediction, and I'm also trying to square this with the Oscar winner, does the Oscar winner happen right before we set them on fire and go out about them?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so in this dystopia, in this parallel universe, so do you believe that we are able to attain the vision that these folks have in terms of AGI and ASI?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so in this dystopia, in this parallel universe, so do you believe that we are able to attain the vision that these folks have in terms of AGI and ASI?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Interesting. I do think that the AGI, this is going to be, and even this year, there's going to be a lot of talk about AGI because of this very strange contract term that OpenAI has with Microsoft.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Interesting. I do think that the AGI, this is going to be, and even this year, there's going to be a lot of talk about AGI because of this very strange contract term that OpenAI has with Microsoft.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Supposedly, yeah, that's what the information report is about. They've got different definitions of AGI, and apparently one of them is, if we can generate $100 billion, we've achieved AGI. You're just like, so much what? It's like, what?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Supposedly, yeah, that's what the information report is about. They've got different definitions of AGI, and apparently one of them is, if we can generate $100 billion, we've achieved AGI. You're just like, so much what? It's like, what?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

But also, like, AGI is $100 billion worth of profit. It's like, you are all, like, this is like the capitalist rapture or whatever. Like, Jesus Christ. I mean, it's so, but I wonder, I wonder if they're going to try to make claims, especially this coming year, of like, no, no, no, we've achieved AGI. No, we've already achieved AGI. Actually, you know what? GPT 3.5 actually is AGI.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

But also, like, AGI is $100 billion worth of profit. It's like, you are all, like, this is like the capitalist rapture or whatever. Like, Jesus Christ. I mean, it's so, but I wonder, I wonder if they're going to try to make claims, especially this coming year, of like, no, no, no, we've achieved AGI. No, we've already achieved AGI. Actually, you know what? GPT 3.5 actually is AGI.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, that is dystopian. Well, I would take the other side of the likelihood of that, but that is definitely dystopian.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, that is dystopian. Well, I would take the other side of the likelihood of that, but that is definitely dystopian.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So mission accomplished. Adam, I love this where they try to rule monger by being like, hey, if you looked around you, like people are pretty dumb, actually. I mean, you're kind of a knucklehead. You forget stuff all the time. You get a lot of stuff wrong. Yeah, we don't call it hallucinations. We just call it you forget for whatever. Yeah, we've achieved that. I mean, is that intelligence?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So mission accomplished. Adam, I love this where they try to rule monger by being like, hey, if you looked around you, like people are pretty dumb, actually. I mean, you're kind of a knucklehead. You forget stuff all the time. You get a lot of stuff wrong. Yeah, we don't call it hallucinations. We just call it you forget for whatever. Yeah, we've achieved that. I mean, is that intelligence?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, we definitely have achieved that. That's AGI. Mission accomplished. And now, by the way, Microsoft, per our agreement, we open AI. You are not entitled to any of our breakthroughs. Actually, no one had a one- or three-year-related open AI prediction before. I'm not sure if there is an opening eye, but opening eyes. Yeah, go for it, Tommy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, we definitely have achieved that. That's AGI. Mission accomplished. And now, by the way, Microsoft, per our agreement, we open AI. You are not entitled to any of our breakthroughs. Actually, no one had a one- or three-year-related open AI prediction before. I'm not sure if there is an opening eye, but opening eyes. Yeah, go for it, Tommy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I don't either. And especially I think if they end up, because I think it's also conceivable that they end up at a time when pre-training is hitting real scaling limits, that they continue to double and triple and quadruple down and end up with just a, because they are operating at a massive, massive, massive loss right now.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I don't either. And especially I think if they end up, because I think it's also conceivable that they end up at a time when pre-training is hitting real scaling limits, that they continue to double and triple and quadruple down and end up with just a, because they are operating at a massive, massive, massive loss right now.