Caitlin Ostroff

I mean, there's kind of twofold.

So one is just if you are a normal trader and you're sitting there on the couch betting on, you know, whether the Seahawks win.

Or the halftime show.

If you are a normal person betting in those, that's not really a fair market for you, right?

Like you're going up against people who have more information than you.

On the flip side of that, you have, you know, these markets that are more sensitive.

Will Maduro be ousted?

Will Israel strike Iran?

Those are markets that do have implications for national security.

And this is information that governments keep very closely held because of the potential to have operations go wrong.

And that puts lives in jeopardy and it, you know, can create all sorts of ripple effects.

And so that type of information basically becoming public can be really dangerous.

Right.

Exactly.

Exactly.

There's all of these different ways in which you can have potential manipulation of prediction markets.

And those, again, the average person can be really hard to see.

If you're a normal person, it's rife with potential for manipulation and discrepancy, and it can be really hard to navigate.

That's a great question.

Polymarket does not have markets for itself yet.