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Caroline Hyde

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
7085 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

as well.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

So the demand remains strong, but building these chip plans and building the data centers requires confidence, and the confidence, the supply of confidence is unfortunately not infinite.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

So that is going to be a bottleneck, and that's going to be a capacity constraint that could eventually become a headache for the sector and the growth expectations.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

If I showed you a long-term chart of memory spot pricing, it would be for a number of years basically steady only because of the severity and the surge in the last month.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

At this juncture, do we need to start talking about the impact of memory, you mentioned energy as well, on inflation and have a more economic discussion about what this shock, this bottleneck is causing?

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

Well, obviously, there are now rising worries about the fact that all of this AI demand and resources being limited is going to start pushing prices higher.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

For the memory chips, we're talking about very big numbers.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

I mean, 30% rise only last quarter, according to Samsung's report earlier this month.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

And as Ryan also said, I mean, this is a very important component of hardware companies, and it will eventually start pressuring their profit margins and lead to price pressures.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

Now, the question is, how much of these costs, of these additional costs, will be pushed onto the end customers?

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

The reality is that we do not know, but the higher the demand, the higher...

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

the prices are going to be going up and the higher the pressure will be on the profit margins.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

There, the competition is going to be important.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

The higher the competition, the bigger the impact on profit margins.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

And these companies will not be able to push the prices too high because, well, then there will be implications on the demand side.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

The memory bottleneck, is that going to be the talking point of this technology earnings season?

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

Well, yes, I think that is going to be one of the major talking points, along with energy and the metal prices as well.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

All of these input prices are rising.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

The other thing that we will be really watching very closely in this earnings season is obviously the headline numbers.

Bloomberg Tech
TSMC Forecast Lifts Peers on Robust AI Demand

But not only, we will be also looking very closely into how the revenues are being booked and how the loans are also being booked in order to...