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Caroline Hyde

πŸ‘€ Speaker
7301 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

The market reaction from your perspective.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

Well, this is a win for Nvidia, but it has to be taken with a pinch of salt because we already hear that there are tensions among US politicians regarding what this means for the national security for US.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

It is a very sensitive segment of business.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

China is unsure to let its own companies buy these chips for the same national security issues and also because they are backing the domestic chip production.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

So for Nvidia, which assumes that its China sales are now zero, every chip that's going to be sold to China is a bonus.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

It is a tailwind.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

But for long-term forecasts, we still remain very much cautious regarding what this means and how stable the sale is going to be.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

Ipek, the base case assumption from NVIDIA is right now in the fiscal year and maybe next fiscal year, zero revenues from China.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

But clearly this news has led everyone to recalculate.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

Would you assume some upside from Chinese AI data center chip revenue next year?

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

Well, again, the geopolitical backdrop is so uncertain that the best thing to do in terms of the safest way to go with these assumptions is to keep that forecast at 0%.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

But obviously, investors are happy to hear that there is an opportunity in China for Nvidia.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

But again, that opportunity is very much uncertain right now.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

We don't know if China is going to allow these chips to be sold.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

And again, we don't even know if the Chinese companies

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

will be willing to buy these chips, given that it is politically very sensitive.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

And if they could use domestic alternatives, even though they are less efficient, maybe it's going to be a better deal for them, especially from a political and geopolitical perspective.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

So in my opinion, investors will continue to assume that the Chinese sales is the Nvidia's Chinese sales are going to be zero with a little bonus, maybe if some of these chips actually get sold.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

Ipek, bring us your global perspective as you sit in Switzerland, this tussle between U.S.

Bloomberg Tech
Nvidia Wins US Approval to Sell H200 Chips to China

and China to say who's got more dominance.