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Carrington Clarke

πŸ‘€ Speaker
5121 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

So you had New Zealand's third biggest city completely in ruins, large parts of it from this earthquake.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

But ultimately, it was a positive for New Zealand's GDP.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

The economy there had been struggling.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

And by destroying a large percentage of the buildings that already existed in Christchurch, you had to rebuild them.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

And likewise, panel beating services are counted as a positive for GDP because it's work being done.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

But it's work being done to repair something that already existed.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

And GDP doesn't account for the loss of that existing asset.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

So just from a purely financial point of view, surely there are better ways that we can measure economic growth and capture those negative externalities so that we get a true sense of whether we're better off or whether we're just churning through things and it makes our GDP look good because we're treading water, but really we're treading water to stay where we were rather than getting ahead.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

Look, I think at best it's a useful comparator because it's the same and it's been measured the same way basically since the end of World War II.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

It's a creation of Keynesian economics.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

It's a tool for economic managers to basically judge how well the capacity of the economy is being utilised.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

So in that sense, it's been a useful measure.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

If you want to use it as a measure of how well Australians are doing, then it's a less useful measure.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

For a start, you need to look at GDP per capita because one of the problems with the headline number is if you just import more people, then of course they will consume more stuff and there will be more people working just because there are more people.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

But per person, you may well be going backwards and that's what people live through.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

So that's just a simple way where you need to get below that headline.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

And there is information in the national accounts as they're called with within which GDP is just one of the numbers that you can pull that apart.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

For instance, you can look at the profit share of national income and compare that to the labor share, the workers share versus, you know, the rent share of national income.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

and kind of weigh up where the money is going.

ABC Business Daily
Why property is flatlining

Because again, not much point for the average person if your economy is roaring along, but all the benefit is going to say, you know, the tech bros who run the biggest AI companies, you know, that's great for them, but not for everyone else.