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Chamath Palihapitiya

πŸ‘€ Speaker
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31314 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

The baggage?

696.557 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

Yeah.

697.459 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

But man, he and Dario should do a deal tomorrow.

698.453 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

So you're framing, hey, the limited resource here is compute.

701.257 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

The demand is off the charts.

706.406 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

No, the limiting resource is power.

708.329 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

Power, which then powers compute, which then provides tokens, which then services the massive developer and co-work and all these other projects that consumers and enterprises can't get enough of.

710.192 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

Got it.

723.052 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

And Jason, the other factor that complicates that for anthropic and open AI is all the stuff that's sort of sitting around thumb twiddling, 40% of that is going to get canceled because they've done such a poor job of creating a good positive halo around AI that 40% of all the announced projects get canceled because 40% of all projects in the last four years have been canceled.

723.513 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

Yeah, and there are some bad feelings about data centers, AI, jobs, etc., and that's causing some headwind.

748.673 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

People are literally doing violent things in society and blaming data centers and AI for it.

755.926 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

I don't want to give it too much airtime.

763.399 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

Freeberg, what's your take on the chessboard we're looking at here today?

764.741 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

either through compute, energy, or through going public on a business level, you know, the strategic nature of capital, compute, and energy now playing a role in this massive amount of demand.

769.177 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

It's still a ball in the air kind of game.

782.956 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

BCG had this theory, I think I talked about this once before, called the rule of three.

786.461 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

where they've shown time and again that any stable, mature competitive market evolves to a four to two to one ratio of market share for basically 90% of the market.

791.688 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

So there's a market leader that has four times the market share of the second place, that's two times the market share of the third place.

802.964 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

This is the case in pretty much every mature kind of competitive market.

809.794 View full episode β†’
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze

So you can kind of think about AI probably evolving into a consumer market and an enterprise market.

813.119 View full episode β†’