Chamath

I mean, it's basically the capital deployments gone back to where it was in 2019, let's call it. So again, we had this bubble. The foam started building in 2020, but you had COVID, people didn't know what to think. So there was some restraint, I guess. And then 2021, it just went wild.

I mean, it's basically the capital deployments gone back to where it was in 2019, let's call it. So again, we had this bubble. The foam started building in 2020, but you had COVID, people didn't know what to think. So there was some restraint, I guess. And then 2021, it just went wild.

That was nuts, man.

That was nuts, man.

If you could return capital, you're going to look like a Euro. Also, Chamath, I remember, I don't know if it was Michael Moritz or Doug Leone, but I was talking to Sequoia about the time dispersion of your fund, like over what period of time are you deploying a fund? And man, people started deploying funds in 18 months because they can raise the next fund so quick.

If you could return capital, you're going to look like a Euro. Also, Chamath, I remember, I don't know if it was Michael Moritz or Doug Leone, but I was talking to Sequoia about the time dispersion of your fund, like over what period of time are you deploying a fund? And man, people started deploying funds in 18 months because they can raise the next fund so quick.

So like, screw it, I'm gonna deploy this fund in 18 months, 24 months. And LPs were saying to me like, what period are you gonna deploy this? And I said, well, you know, I was taught by Fred Wilson and this person, 36 months, 48 months would be a good, window to deploy capital because, you know, it smooths it out.

So like, screw it, I'm gonna deploy this fund in 18 months, 24 months. And LPs were saying to me like, what period are you gonna deploy this? And I said, well, you know, I was taught by Fred Wilson and this person, 36 months, 48 months would be a good, window to deploy capital because, you know, it smooths it out.

Just by the way, I feel better about those late – bloomers in my portfolio because i know the marks are real because if they're getting marked up now then it's very very solid compared to frankly some of those marks that we got in the bubble year like 2021 i call them tiger marks whether it was tiger or not

Just by the way, I feel better about those late – bloomers in my portfolio because i know the marks are real because if they're getting marked up now then it's very very solid compared to frankly some of those marks that we got in the bubble year like 2021 i call them tiger marks whether it was tiger or not

It's just less real, quite frankly, and a lot of those companies are retrenching and have issues. So a mark now, it just means something different than a mark then. But look, just so we're not totally beating up on VC, you remember that in this bubble period of September 2021, everybody thought that this party would just continue forever.

It's just less real, quite frankly, and a lot of those companies are retrenching and have issues. So a mark now, it just means something different than a mark then. But look, just so we're not totally beating up on VC, you remember that in this bubble period of September 2021, everybody thought that this party would just continue forever.

And this is a good example from the Wall Street Journal, where it's talking about how university endowments were minting billions in golden era of venture capital. So The bubble wasn't just in VC, it was in the public markets too, because we had ZERP, right? Like interest rates were zero, liquidity was just flowing.

And this is a good example from the Wall Street Journal, where it's talking about how university endowments were minting billions in golden era of venture capital. So The bubble wasn't just in VC, it was in the public markets too, because we had ZERP, right? Like interest rates were zero, liquidity was just flowing.

And so it was very easy for companies to get liquid, they IPO'd, and then the valuations were stratospheric. So the distributions to LPs were massive in 2021. And then that led to, again, more funds, being able to raise bigger funds. Everyone was just kind of paying it forward and thought the party would just keep going. So-

And so it was very easy for companies to get liquid, they IPO'd, and then the valuations were stratospheric. So the distributions to LPs were massive in 2021. And then that led to, again, more funds, being able to raise bigger funds. Everyone was just kind of paying it forward and thought the party would just keep going. So-

this is what happens in a bubble is everybody thinks that it's just gonna keep going like that.

this is what happens in a bubble is everybody thinks that it's just gonna keep going like that.

This is why it's so important as a fund manager or an entrepreneur for you to get great advice from people who've been at this for a long time and focus on the process. You cannot control all these outcomes. You cannot control all these meta events. What you can control is your relationship with your customers, building a team, making great bets, supporting late bloomers.

This is why it's so important as a fund manager or an entrepreneur for you to get great advice from people who've been at this for a long time and focus on the process. You cannot control all these outcomes. You cannot control all these meta events. What you can control is your relationship with your customers, building a team, making great bets, supporting late bloomers.