Chamath

Yeah, that's a good question. If she ends up winning, I think it will be that people believe that they, I think it will be that moderates in those swing states, and women, believe that it's too much chaos and that Trump will be too much, they want a calmer, same thing reason Biden won, right?

Like that there's this like concept that the adults are in the room and it will be calm and it won't be chaotic. And I think people just still see Trump as a bit chaotic. And I think that's the big fear. And I think they've played the abortion card and the right to choose really well. Even though Trump said it here, I'm not gonna sign the abortion ban, I'm pro-IVF.

Like that there's this like concept that the adults are in the room and it will be calm and it won't be chaotic. And I think people just still see Trump as a bit chaotic. And I think that's the big fear. And I think they've played the abortion card and the right to choose really well. Even though Trump said it here, I'm not gonna sign the abortion ban, I'm pro-IVF.

I think they have that really great win of saying, hey, you bragged about overturning Roe v. Wade. Probably wasn't smart to brag about that. And they have that clip that they can keep reinforcing. So if he does lose, and I don't know that he's going to lose, I think there's a lot of people who are going to go in there and vote for him

I think they have that really great win of saying, hey, you bragged about overturning Roe v. Wade. Probably wasn't smart to brag about that. And they have that clip that they can keep reinforcing. So if he does lose, and I don't know that he's going to lose, I think there's a lot of people who are going to go in there and vote for him

but not say it to pollsters and not say it to their family and friends because they're embarrassed because of the pressure against orange Hitler. Oh, you know, this whole rhetoric that he's going to, you know, overturn democracy. So I think it's a pretty good chance that he's going to win. Actually. I don't think that this, I mean, look, I think in a close race, right.

but not say it to pollsters and not say it to their family and friends because they're embarrassed because of the pressure against orange Hitler. Oh, you know, this whole rhetoric that he's going to, you know, overturn democracy. So I think it's a pretty good chance that he's going to win. Actually. I don't think that this, I mean, look, I think in a close race, right.

They say the statistics in a close race favor him.

They say the statistics in a close race favor him.

Yeah, look, I mean, maybe we're asking the wrong question here, which is why would he lose? I mean, I think maybe the real question is why is he favored to win? Because I think the polls, including Nate Stilver, still show him favored to win.

Yeah, look, I mean, maybe we're asking the wrong question here, which is why would he lose? I mean, I think maybe the real question is why is he favored to win? Because I think the polls, including Nate Stilver, still show him favored to win.

And I think that when you look at what the big issues are in this campaign and what has people agitated and upset, why they think the country is on the wrong track, something like 65%, it has to do with the economy, it has to do with inflation, it has to do with the border. I think that on the cultural issues, the trans stuff drives parents crazy.

And I think that when you look at what the big issues are in this campaign and what has people agitated and upset, why they think the country is on the wrong track, something like 65%, it has to do with the economy, it has to do with inflation, it has to do with the border. I think that on the cultural issues, the trans stuff drives parents crazy.

They don't want the government telling them what to do with their kids. So it's hard to think of a killer issue other than maybe abortion that Harris has on her side. It feels like all the issues cut Trump's way. But again, the thing that Trump doesn't have and there's no way to for him to fix this is the media is just so in the tank for Harris. Now, you raise a good point.

They don't want the government telling them what to do with their kids. So it's hard to think of a killer issue other than maybe abortion that Harris has on her side. It feels like all the issues cut Trump's way. But again, the thing that Trump doesn't have and there's no way to for him to fix this is the media is just so in the tank for Harris. Now, you raise a good point.

Look, could Trump be more disciplined? Yeah, absolutely. However, you know, I think that what amplifies that is the fact that the media is quick to jump on every little thing he says and distorts it.

Look, could Trump be more disciplined? Yeah, absolutely. However, you know, I think that what amplifies that is the fact that the media is quick to jump on every little thing he says and distorts it.

And he sets himself up for it. You know, like part of what makes him activate the base is that erratic behavior, his shtick, you know, the comedy. And then I do believe that it gets weaponized by the press because it's like such so easy for them.

And he sets himself up for it. You know, like part of what makes him activate the base is that erratic behavior, his shtick, you know, the comedy. And then I do believe that it gets weaponized by the press because it's like such so easy for them.

I agree with you that Trump could be more disciplined. However, I don't think it's as bad as what you're saying, because if it were, there'd be no need to make up these obvious hoaxes. There'd be no need to, you know, lie about the very fine people or what he said about bloodbath.