Chris McDonough

Well, she's vanished, okay?

And there's blood on the front porch that has come back DNA to Nancy Guthrie.

So now you ask the second question is, are all of these, is the environment a low, medium or high risk environment?

Well, that's a very low risk environment.

She's at home in bed.

Same with the situation.

But what's the circumstance?

Well, she's disappeared, okay?

So you move that maybe between the middle, the medium, and low risk, okay, at that point, okay?

Now, you take that same theory and you apply it to 2 o'clock in the morning.

There's a high crime rate.

And if everything moves to the right, to a higher risk to the victim, okay, then...

That tells us that particular victim potentially could be a target of opportunity.

But if everything stays to the left, statistically, there's a theory that says, well, then that individual was probably known and or associated to the perpetrator.

Meaning there had to be some type of path that crossed.

And in this case, it could be, you know, the pool guy.

It could be anybody that worked on the house.

It could be neighbors.

It could be friends.

It could be, you know, folks in the nearby arena.