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Christoph Schumacher

πŸ‘€ Speaker
514 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

But the Reserve Bank knows very well that the domestic inflation can't be changed by changing the OCR.

1992.366 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

And we have just seen the latest announcement.

2000.714 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

The Reserve Bank Governor kept the OCR where it was.

2004.219 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

There was no increase because normally external shocks like the oil crisis, Reserve Banks don't tend to overreact and quickly increase the OCR because the expectation is that it will normalize and an understanding that changing the OCR won't change our domestic inflation.

2007.964 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

So we have seen this and it wasn't

2027.21 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

Interesting time, because it was the first time our new Reserve Bank governor had to make a crucial decision.

2029.874 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

And it was an easy one, because increasing the OCR would have meant killing the little bit of growth we had anyway.

2036.142 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

But as you said, the inflation rate has gone outside the band, the 1% to 3%.

2043.532 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

the 2% we target.

2051.423 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

So there could have been a response from the Reserve Bank governor by saying, well, I care more about inflation than about the economy because the economy is the government's responsibility.

2054.168 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

Inflation is the Reserve Bank's.

2065.51 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

She didn't

2067.394 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

increase the OCR.

2068.957 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

So there's a signal that our Reserve Bank is encouraging growth.

2070.098 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

Possibly in the next round, we will still not see an increase in the OCR.

2075.184 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

So there's an acute awareness of what changing the interest rate does to the economy.

2079.049 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

And as you said, it's not just your mortgage rate that's one part, but business spending is another huge part.

2084.295 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

Businesses respond much, much quicker than individuals to changes in the OCR.

2090.903 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

If the OCR goes up, what we tend to do is we save a bit on the things we don't necessarily need.

2095.568 View full episode β†’
Making Cents
When Will The NZ Economy Actually Get Better?

We go out less often for dinner, maybe less to the movies, but we find ways.

2100.577 View full episode β†’