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Claire Jones

πŸ‘€ Speaker
143 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

This is what Walsh wants, in a way, is for markets to speculate.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

So we've been in an era where central banks have really spelt out not only what the decisions are at the moment, but what they're likely to do in the future.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

And Walsh does not like this so-called forward guidance.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

What he's looking at doing is rowing it back.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

We saw the first attempts by him to row it back last week, and more is expected in the pipeline and

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

That's what's got some investors concerned, really.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

We saw Walsh not submit a dot to the dot plots which outline the future path for U.S.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

interest rates.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

We also saw a truncated statement with no steer on whether or not the Fed expects the next moving interest rates to be up or down.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

And what that led to in the markets were bets that we'd see more interest rate hikes in the coming months.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

We saw two-year yields, which are very sensitive to monetary policy, move up quite dramatically to their highest level in more than a year.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

Well, indeed, and this is what Walsh wants in a way is for markets to speculate.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

What he argued for in the press conference is that we've entered this world where because central banks are offering so many clues as to what comes next, Wall Street is trying to second guess the Fed rather than come up with its own judgment on what should happen to interest rates based on reading the economic data.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

He wants to see markets take a more

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

proactive approach in terms of reacting to the economic news and judging what that means the best course for monetary policy is.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

I think you're absolutely right.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

I mean, we're returning to the sort of world that we had before the financial crisis, something more akin to the era of Alan Greenspan, whom Walsh has said he's a fan of.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

The issue is, is that we've now had decades in which the market has had these very clear signals.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

We've had a generation of people in financial markets who are used to this communication from the Fed itself.

FT News Briefing
Starmer on brink of quitting as UK prime minister

And the issue is, is that now if you take that away and reintroduce this element of surprise, you're likely to get more volatility from people who just don't really know how to read the Fed without these very explicit clues.

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