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Courtney Brown / Kate Davidson (reporting lines chiefly Courtney Brown)

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
99 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

Well, I mean, I probably I thought about this question, Kai, and I probably would would also say jobs for Jay Powell.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

But since Courtney said jobs, let me talk about inflation for a minute.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

CPI, I mean, I think clearly the other side of the coin here for the Fed is what's happening with inflation.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

And you are hearing.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

increasingly a bigger contingent of Fed officials who are worried about price pressures.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

Hey, it's not just the Fed, right?

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

I mean, we saw this in all the conversation about the results of some big elections last week and this affordability conversation about how are voters feeling.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

They're still feeling like the prices are still high.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

They have been for a few years and price pressures are prevalent.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

So the thing here is, though, the CPI data that we

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

we would have been collected in October, the government was shut down.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

So the folks who would be the government workers who typically are out collecting that, they haven't been doing it.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

And Trump administration officials have indicated we might not even have a CPI report to look at.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

So I think that for policymakers who are worried about

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

defending against inflation, even absent any new data, they're just going to say, look, let's not cut rates until we know more.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

So I think Jay Powell wants to have a good and updated look at that, but they might not get that for quite some time.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

There's a question about whether there's going to be this just huge hole in our understanding of what happened with the economy in October.

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

Kevin Hassett, one of Trump's top economists, seemed to suggest that maybe we get half the jobs report, maybe we get the payroll number, but we don't get the data that actually the private sector data is not great at accounting for, which is the unemployment rate that's based on the household survey, as Kate

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

said and suggested with respect to cpi it's kind of similar with the jobs report this is hard to kind of backtrack and fill in the gap and it's it's almost impossible for the bls to do that so maybe with the jobs report we only get half and that's not that's not very satisfying if you want a complete picture of how the labor market has been performing in recent months

Marketplace
Trump's tariff turnaround

I mean, I think it matters because it's the big challenge for Jay Powell as the chair.