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Daire MacFadden

👤 Speaker
65 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I mean, it's basically anarchic.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I think my imagination of how a newsroom function would have been

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

An editor stood atop a command structure asking for this by 5 o'clock, this for tomorrow.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And instead, it all just comes together with everyone just doing their work.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Yeah, weirdly.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I mean, from the outside, it looks like a beautiful building, but there are all sorts of downsides to working in a, you know, 100-year-old building now that's single glazed windows.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

It's very drafty.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

You have to walk 10 minutes to get to any meeting room.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

So it is a relief to work in a more modern office building.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Well, to start with, yeah, like you said, Katie, the size of the UK gilt market is a lot smaller than the Treasury market.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

So there's a lot more of a risk that investors in gilts would lose interest in being invested in gilts.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

At the moment, the UK is in this very tricky situation of being at the center of both global dynamics that are pushing up yields internationally and a sort of political crisis taking place in the UK now, which is adding to the yield on the longer dated gilts.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Can I provide some context here as the crass American?

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

The European Central Bank is willing to kind of step in in the event that the spreads between all of the European bonds start diverging too much.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

That's critical to maintaining a single currency area.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

We have a central bank that is willing to backstop the market when there's a sort of systemic risk to financial stability, as happened in September 2022.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

But that was to do with the business models and the balance sheets of particular sectors in the economy, like pension funds and insurance companies.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I'd say one other thing to bring into this, or a couple of other things.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

One is that the UK does have a very high level of debt as a percentage of GDP.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And so, yes, it's a piddly bond market, but it is large by European standards.

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