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Daire MacFadden

👤 Speaker
65 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And depending on who comes out tops in that contest for the leadership of the Labour Party.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

There could be a swing or a lurch to the left.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

That means slightly more spending, more social commitments.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And it's just not clear that the bond market really wants to absorb all that additional borrowing.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

So there's a real question there around whether the bond market is going to kind of reimpose discipline on whoever comes into power if Keir Starmer leaves.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And in fact, there was a column in the FT yesterday arguing that you could actually be long on gilts because the bond market generally has a way of imposing discipline and constraints on governments that get a bit too out of hand.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Basically, my view.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I think we're just adjusting to a new world of permanently higher debt levels and aging demographics and...

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

We will find some way to accommodate this additional supply, whether that's central banks buying it or cutting social spending.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Yeah, very few advanced economies have gotten back to their 2% inflation targets since the energy spike in 2022.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And so the question is whether they even have 2% inflation targets anymore.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Are they able to meet them over the medium term or not?

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Rob, you should be going long shampoo because of all of the hair treatments that are coming in these days.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

That's a good point, Dara.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

Thinking like a trader.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I like that.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

I like that.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

So...

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

It was reported this week that Limebike is going to IPO at some point soon.

Unhedged
What’s bothering bonds?

And they're a blight on the streets of London, I would say, because they encourage a lot of people who are not regular cyclists to get on bicycles with an electric power assist and zigzag in all sorts of directions.