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Dan Ivascyn

πŸ‘€ Speaker
717 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You know, at times there is a big trade.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So, you know, we want to be on the lookout for the big trade.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But they're just harder to find.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Well, yes, it was annoying and tough to operate.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

if you're in Europe, again, you had negative yields.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So, you know, again, we try to, you know, we market in this industry and you try to put on a positive tone.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Inflation was low.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But you had no value.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You know, so you took a low inflation rate, subtracted that small rate from starting bond yields.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You ended up with a negative number.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And we've had 10 or 15 years, I don't know, I don't have the math or the numbers in front of me, but last 10 or 15 years, high quality bonds have generated returns of about two and a half percent.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Take away, you know, two-ish percent inflation, nothing there.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

The math is much more favorable today.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And, you know, unlike growth equity investing, VC, you know, with a little bit of time, you typically earn your yield.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then if we do our jobs properly and generate some additional returns, some thoughtful asset allocating,

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

expand the opportunity set, a little more complexity.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You know, the math works out better today.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Yeah, pre-COVID, that was the general thinking at PIMCO as well.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Global savings glut, tremendous disinflationary pressure, or put more simplistically, central bankers had been trying to create inflation for a long time, unsuccessfully.