Dan Pfeiffer

Um,

There have been a couple gigantic ones this month.

These things are always very... You got to look at all of them because they're very race-specific.

You could have a very bad candidate.

You look at this...

You use the Trump number, not the previous House race in that House district with Mar-a-Lago because it probably was not particularly competitive because the Democrat didn't run a real race.

So you throw them all in there.

Right now, the special elections look like 2018 in terms of margin.

Except for the generic ballot.

Yeah, I think it seems bad because that says there's no deal, which means there's no law being passed that sends money to the Department of Homeland Security that they can then take that money and give it to the workers.

The sticking point was, if you want to get nerdy about this, is that if you fund all of DHS except ICE, you're still funding CBP and HSI, Homeland Security Investigations, and they do immigration enforcement.

And so they would be proceeding, we'd be paying them to do immigration enforcement absent reforms.

And if we remember, it was CBP officers who were involved in the killing of

of Alex Pretty.

It also seems like they were going to get a deal.

As our old boss, Pete Rouse from Obama World used to say, nothing motivates a senator like the smell of jet fumes.

And once John Thune said, well, I guess we're not going to be able to go on recess if we don't fix this.

It was pretty sure they're headed for a deal.

So Trump has fucked this up.

It's not clear how they're going to