Daniel Blumstein

So when the Pennsylvania Deutsch, the Germans, came to Pittsburgh area, they were looking for an analogy, and they realized that woodchucks, groundhogs, were hibernating, and maybe they could predict the winter.

But the idea is that if it's sunny...

then there must be a high pressure system.

So if the groundhog sees its shadow, it's sunny.

There's a high pressure system, things probably aren't changing that much, and then winter will continue.

If it's cloudy and the groundhog doesn't see a shadow,

you know, then maybe the weather, things are changing and maybe spring will come early.

Does it work?

Does a coin flip work?

I mean, you know, get the data.

And by the way, there are competing groundhogs now.

So Pucks, Donnie, Phil's been taken over by Wearton, Willie, and all of these other groundhogs.

Truth.

And, you know, turned into a movie, I think, about tracking down the source of what killed the groundhog.

I mean, it died.

Bill Murray movies.

Of course I've seen it more than once.

Well, I mean, they chew their things and bite people and, you know, they probably don't drive trucks, but I mean, really it's a Buddhist movie.

It's not about groundhogs.

And trying to improve over time.