Dave Smith
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
There's no reason that like right now you could get something like a pledge that Iran isn't going to develop nuclear weapons and.
an opening of the strait with them getting to maintain some level of control, or maybe they charge a little environmental fee or something like that for a little bit.
At least the world economy gets relieved and oil starts flowing through.
And we could just make a deal and then say, we're going to guarantee that we won't attack you anymore.
We're going to rein Israel in or not support them.
If we were willing to do those things, we could get a reasonable deal that everyone could live with.
The problem is Trump would be humiliated.
And he's not willing to do that for obvious reasons.
But now we're back to where we've been this entire time, which is a very bad place.
There's that Donald Trump's... I mean, Rob, how many bluffs have they called already?
on him what does he do now at this point like how many times can he go around this merry-go-round where he goes we're gonna totally destroy you unless you make a deal and they're dying to make a deal because we've already destroyed them so much so make the deal right now or we totally destroy you and they go no and he goes all right but that you know like this is how many more of these before it's just like you gotta either do one or the other
I mean, I really have an answer to that.
I'm kind of shocked that they were able to do another round of it already.
You know, one of the things I worry about the most with all of this, and I guess my primary concern here is that, I mean, the obvious, like, the maximalist catastrophic risks, which I'm not saying any of them are going to come true, but, like, the biggest concern is what you alluded to there at the end.
Like, the war really, you know, a massive, like, you know, a...
a massive bombing campaign where, you know, huge numbers of people die and they respond by taking out a desalination plant or something, you know, like the fear of something really spiraling out of control, which I'm still hopeful won't happen.
But, you know, you do risk these things happening.