David French

And so we've seen this again and again, and he engages in this sort of very blatant market manipulation.

And that's one thing that makes it so hard to discern what he's actually trying to accomplish.

When is he doing his market manipulation versus when is he actually talking about what American goals or objectives are?

I don't know, but I tend to agree with Jamel that essentially what'll happen is that he will declare victory at a point in the unspecified future, and then essentially leave the rest of the world to work out how to cross the Strait of Hormuz.

In other words, you know,

if you wanna transmit oil and gas now, you're gonna have to pay Iran, or you're gonna have to work out your own deal with Iran.

And so you're gonna essentially leave Iran and control the Strait, or at least enough ability to influence the Strait that people feel like they gotta deal with Iran to get through safely.

And in that circumstance, it's very unclear to me if we've actually accomplished a strategic objective or if in a weird and perverse way, we've strengthened the Iranian regime, at least over the short to medium term.

But I'm with Jamal.

I think we'll see in the absence of a military miracle, I see a declaration of victory and a lot of chaos unwinding this war.

We're here because Donald Trump put us here.

So Donald Trump promulgates an executive order,

that executive order will go into effect unless challenged.

When it's challenged, it starts to go up the court system.

And you're not gonna get a final definitive ruling on that until you get one from the Supreme Court.

And if the Supreme Court just denies review of the lower courts,

That is an answer, but it's an answer that often comes a lot slower.

It's a lot more fragmented.

There's a lot more uncertainty.

But when a president asserts his power this aggressively, in many ways, you really do need that Supreme Court, that final Supreme Court ruling that definitively declares it inbounds or out of bounds.