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David Friedberg

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
7166 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So if we take a look here,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

around the world, central banks have decided that they no longer want to hold US treasuries.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

And so this is the value of gold versus treasuries in central banks in their inventory.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So we are now seeing that for the first time in history, or no, no, no, hold on.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

Yeah, but the dollar value is also adjusted.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So fundamentally, I mean, one way to think about this is the relative value of central bank holdings around the world.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

We now see gold eclipsing US treasuries.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So now gold is a larger share of the holdings.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

Yeah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So now the gold is a larger share of the holdings of central banks.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

If you look at the next chart, which is just over the past year, as J. Cal pointed out, this is the dollar index.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So it's the dollar against a basket of foreign currencies has declined from a index of about, call it 109, down to 96 today.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

This chart actually looks at, so what is the U.S.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

stock market trading at?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

And instead of trading it in U.S.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

dollars, what if you just looked at the U.S.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

stock market, the total value in ounces of gold?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

And so if we had the gold standard still, and if we functionally converted stock market value from dollars back into gold, you can see that the stock markets in the United States over the past years, so this is about seven and a half years going back to the pre COVID era, is actually down, down pretty substantively.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

from the pre-COVID era.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

So stock markets are fundamentally down.