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David Friedberg

πŸ‘€ Speaker
9253 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And so where we are is that private equity has seen a very consistent way of returning money to help improve that 60-40 portfolio.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

As a result, they got a lot of money, but then that created a lot of competition.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And so that's why you see this hockey stick graph, Jason.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And when you see that kind of graph, it doesn't matter what asset class it is, the returns go to zero.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And so we've seen this in venture capital.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

We've seen this in hedge funds.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And we're now going to see this in private equity.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

There's no returns.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And so again, I've said in any of these alternative asset classes, there's only one thing you should always ask if you had to have one critical question.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

What are your distributions?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

Don't show me your IRR.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

What is your DPI?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

The distributions on your paid-in capital.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And if the answer is zero, then it is a very challenged asset class.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And what I will tell you in private equity is that over the last four or five years, distributions have been few and far between.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So I think what's gonna happen is that the money is gonna come out of private equity and it's gonna get concentrated into the few companies that know what they're doing, of which Silver Lake has generated over the last 15, 20 years,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

tens and tens of billions of dollars of distributions.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

They are just an exceptionally well-run organization.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

They've done these huge buyout deals successfully before.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So we need to go through that in PE.