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David George

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
942 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

Inference cost is going to go down over time.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

I mean, there's so many existential questions about market structure that will predict inference cost, but the history of technology would suggest that it's going to go down over time.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

The cost of inference has gone down at the same time that reasoning happened.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

And so token token usage has gone way up.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

So you haven't yet seen any improvement in gross margins.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

But I think over time, that's likely to happen.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

There's a big difference between having 30% gross margins and 70% gross margins.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

So we do care.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

Our expectation is if you're producing a lot of customer value, and if the models get a lot better over time, you're going to increasingly produce customer value, that the cost is going to go down.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

There's not going to be so much market power, the model providers, that it's going to settle out where these businesses are probably higher margin businesses.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

I think there'll be lower margin businesses than SaaS businesses.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

Maybe they end up as 50% margin companies as opposed to 80%.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

But the size of the impact and the usage and the amount that they'll be able to capture to our point on business model earlier is probably so high that it's fine.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

There's so many ingredients to the best of.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

There's sort of a foundational point, which is every great company either has unique product or unique distribution.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

The best companies in the world have both.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

The best companies in the world have such unique product that it leads to unique distribution.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

But if you don't have either of those.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

What's your favorite example of that?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
David George - Building a16z Growth, Investing Across the AI Stack, and Why Markets Misprice Growth - [Invest Like the Best, EP.450]

I'll use a recent one that the product is so good that people just naturally gravitated to it as cursor.