David Hoffman

You think that's him acknowledging I have maybe three more weeks?

He definitely knows that.

I mean, he definitely knows that.

He's probably seen these sorts of stats too.

This is from Nate Silver, which is Trump's approval rating.

It just fell below 40% for the first time.

And you could see Trump's numbers on a trend down from the liberation tariffs and some of these other milestones that government shut down, Rene Good killed.

The Iran war starts and it's been on a steady trajectory down, which is not great when you're in a midterm year.

And this is showing up in probabilities for the election.

So ever since, let's say, ever since November, but.

There's been a steady trickle up as Trump favorability goes down.

The odds that the Democrats will win the House in 2026 are going up on polymarket right now.

That's 86 percent.

The Senate on four million dollars of volume, which isn't super high, but definitely not low either.

Yeah, and the Senate is more up for grabs.

It's about 50-50 right now.

So there's some political constraints, there's some economic constraints, and all of this is getting factored in.

But so far, I don't think we've really felt the shock in the markets.

I mean, crypto prices is down and that aside, but I don't think the NASDAQ has gotten hit

So let's leave it there for the week.