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David Kipping

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3715 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So they're the ones that lurk more in the shadows in terms of how difficult it is to detect.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

They're much harder.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

They're harder for several reasons.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

The method we primarily use is the transit method.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So this is really eclipses.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

As the planet passes in front of the star, it blocks out some starlight.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

The problem with that is that not all planets pass in front of their star.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

They have to be aligned correctly from your line of sight.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

And so the further away the planet is from the star, the cooler it is, the less likely it is that you're going to get that geometric alignment.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So whereas a hot Jupiter, about 1% of hot Jupiters will transit in front of their star,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

only about 0.5%, maybe even a quarter of a percent of Earth-like planets will have the right geometry to transit.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

And so that makes it much, much harder for us.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

There's not a direct connection, but they're connected by an intermediate parameter, which is their separation from the star.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So the planet will be cooler if it's further away from the star, which in turn means that the probability of getting that alignment correct is going to be less.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

On top of that, they also transit their star less frequently.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So if you go to the telescope and you want to discover hot Jupiter, you could probably do it in a week or so because the orbital period is of order of one, two, three days.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

So you can actually get the full orbit two or three times over.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

Whereas if you want to set an Earth-like planet, you have to observe that star for three, four years.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

And that's actually one of the problems with Kepler.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#355 โ€“ David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

Kepler was this very successful mission that NASA launched in