David Pakman
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And historically, you see drafts after an escalation.
That's another thing I think is important to correct.
Some people think, well, if there was a plan for an escalation, they would start the draft now.
That's not usually the way it works.
Usually you escalate with the army you have and then you start drafting if you need to.
So are people online jumping ahead about this is proof the draft is coming?
Yes, people are jumping ahead about this is proof the draft is coming.
It's not supported by current policy.
But the underlying concern, if you put two and two together and you see troop levels, you see recruitment problems over the last several years, the possibility of a larger conflict.
And J.D.
Vance is now talking about being in Iran one to two years, not three to four weeks.
That is a change.
And so if you are under 42,
You are now within the upper bound of who can enlist and theoretically within the category of someone that could be drafted.
Now, what is actually going to happen?
It's very unpredictable because it's subject to the whims of Trump.
Now, there are people we'll talk about in a moment, pro-war people who are even saying to Trump, this particular one is a bad idea.
And Trump sees what's happening in the economy, jobs, stock market, gas prices, the entire thing.
And he is saying, well, hold on a second.
I want people to like me.