David Pakman

anytime you want.

New claim replaces the old one.

New prediction takes its place and then there's no consequences for getting it wrong again and again.

What matters today is not accuracy.

It's can you keep people's attention?

And so this is why it doesn't matter when you get every prediction wrong.

If the predictions get attention and then you get you have more predictions and those get attention again, confidence and attention beat correctness right now.

If you say something clearly and forcefully, it spreads and it gets shared and clipped and repeated regardless of whether it holds up.

And when the truth catches up to you, the conversation has moved on.

Now, I've talked before.

I could get a lot of clicks by just hair on fire.

There will be no 2026 election stuff.

I don't believe it.

And I don't say things on this show that I don't believe, but I absolutely could weaponize that for clicks and attention.

And then I would be wrong because there's going to be a 2026 election.

But would there be consequences for me getting that wrong?

I don't think so.

And you can always off ramp and go, well, Trump decided he didn't need to cancel it.

I don't do this sort of thing.

But the truth is that most people aren't tracking every prediction.