David Sacks

And he says, that's not to say I think the technology is a parlor trick, but rather that the level of uncertainty is so high and the quality and supply of real-world, real-time information about AI's macroeconomic effects so paltry that very serious conversations about AI are often more literary than genuinely analytical.

And he says, that's not to say I think the technology is a parlor trick, but rather that the level of uncertainty is so high and the quality and supply of real-world, real-time information about AI's macroeconomic effects so paltry that very serious conversations about AI are often more literary than genuinely analytical.

So, in other words, what he's saying is, look, this guy is writing very –

So, in other words, what he's saying is, look, this guy is writing very –

compelling science fiction, but there's no real analytics behind it to defend it.

compelling science fiction, but there's no real analytics behind it to defend it.

And yes, this could happen.

And yes, this could happen.

Here's a prediction market on whether people believe the Citrini report's going to come true, something like 12%.

Here's a prediction market on whether people believe the Citrini report's going to come true, something like 12%.

believe the Citrini scenario is going to happen.

believe the Citrini scenario is going to happen.

But the truth is no one really knows.

But the truth is no one really knows.

I mean, there's other dueling science fiction narratives where AI is going to create such a world of abundance that we're not going to need for anything.

I mean, there's other dueling science fiction narratives where AI is going to create such a world of abundance that we're not going to need for anything.

And just by the way, Derek Thompson is one of the abundance guys with Ezra Klein.

And just by the way, Derek Thompson is one of the abundance guys with Ezra Klein.

Yeah, let me just build on your point about SaaS.

Yeah, let me just build on your point about SaaS.