David Shor

was really very stable for most of his term. And the only time that it declined was when Trump tried to repeal the Affordable Care Act. But once that was out of the news, they switched back. Like at this moment, given that there is no party leader, I think it's mostly a question of if Trump does successfully push a bunch of welfare state cuts, then that might change the realignment.

was really very stable for most of his term. And the only time that it declined was when Trump tried to repeal the Affordable Care Act. But once that was out of the news, they switched back. Like at this moment, given that there is no party leader, I think it's mostly a question of if Trump does successfully push a bunch of welfare state cuts, then that might change the realignment.

But I think realistically, at least until 2026, it's mostly a function of what Republicans do. But, you know, when we pick a new presidential candidate, that will be a reset. And I think it's, you know, I don't think it's too early to talk about that. But I think that you could imagine us picking candidates who would do a much better job.

But I think realistically, at least until 2026, it's mostly a function of what Republicans do. But, you know, when we pick a new presidential candidate, that will be a reset. And I think it's, you know, I don't think it's too early to talk about that. But I think that you could imagine us picking candidates who would do a much better job.

I want to just call out Hollow Parties by Danny Shazman. He's a good friend of mine. And Sam Rosenfeld. And Sam Rosenfeld, of course. My old colleague. Yes. I think it's hard to talk about a lot of these questions that I was kind of dodging about, you know, why parties were doing what they did without kind of reading that.

I want to just call out Hollow Parties by Danny Shazman. He's a good friend of mine. And Sam Rosenfeld. And Sam Rosenfeld, of course. My old colleague. Yes. I think it's hard to talk about a lot of these questions that I was kind of dodging about, you know, why parties were doing what they did without kind of reading that.

You know, the other thing I want to call out is something that was usually influential for how I think about politics. This is a really nerdy pick, but the origin and nature of mass opinion by Zoller kind of gets at this question of how much does what people say in surveys matter versus how much of it is downstream of what people are saying, you know, what elites are saying.

You know, the other thing I want to call out is something that was usually influential for how I think about politics. This is a really nerdy pick, but the origin and nature of mass opinion by Zoller kind of gets at this question of how much does what people say in surveys matter versus how much of it is downstream of what people are saying, you know, what elites are saying.

And I think his answer is mostly elites, but both. And then the last thing I just wanted to call out was Victory Lab by Sasha Eisenberg. You know, it kind of talks a lot about, you know, the history of the democratic analytics industry. A lot of the stuff that these numbers that I've shared here kind of come out of that machine.

And I think his answer is mostly elites, but both. And then the last thing I just wanted to call out was Victory Lab by Sasha Eisenberg. You know, it kind of talks a lot about, you know, the history of the democratic analytics industry. A lot of the stuff that these numbers that I've shared here kind of come out of that machine.

And so if you're just interested in kind of the history of the Democratic Party's internal analytics and research structure, it's the only book really that's ever been written about it.

And so if you're just interested in kind of the history of the Democratic Party's internal analytics and research structure, it's the only book really that's ever been written about it.