David Solomon
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
You have to have higher growth to make sense of where we are when you start thinking about, you know, 5, 10, 15, 20 years from now, based on the trajectory we're on.
We have entitlement programs that don't work structurally.
You know, we have more headroom to let them run, but ultimately we're
You know, there'll be a point at which we have to wrestle with that.
So those are things that with a longer term lens, I'm very concerned about.
I think from a policy perspective, the hard things to get at without some sort of, you know, I don't want to be overly dramatic, but some sort of a crisis or speed bump or something that resets the mindset.
creates more of a need for, you know, kind of bipartisan approach to correct.
And we're just not in that place at the moment.
And so, you know, that allows us to continue to put ourselves in a position where ultimately the correct, unless we generate higher growth, you know, is more difficult.
Now, in the short term, I actually think this year,
I'm on the over on the growth forecast.
I do think inflation will be stickier this year than the consensus, but I think we could see nominal growth that's higher than what the expectation is given the confluence of kind of stimulative events I talked about.
So even if you wound up with
you know, with closer to 3% inflation, you know, you could have, you know, real growth of three or over 3% this year because you could have higher nominal growth than where I think the expectation currently is.
So I'm one that's in the camp that that's a possibility.
But unless you create that on a sustained basis where you have higher real growth and you control inflation, you know, we're setting ourself up at some point for some big speed bumps.
I'm not surprised on either side of the aisle.
Both sides have been poor fiscal stewards.
And it continues because the politics, you know, play well until there's real pressure that forces, you know, a different kind of political discipline.
So I'm not surprised now if if this administration can marry it with better growth.