Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing
9332 total appearances
Voice ID

Voice Profile Active

This person's voice can be automatically recognized across podcast episodes using AI voice matching.

Voice samples: 1
Confidence: Medium

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

I expect others to come in and many are here.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

But I think one in particular could break out and capture the younger audience and maybe even specifically leverage a token as a growth lever because that hasn't been done well before.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

Yeah, definitely.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

I strongly believe that Polymarket is better suited over this next coming year.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And I expect them to end with materially higher open interest than Kalshi.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

There's a few reasons for this, right?

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

I think the most obvious is that you have FanDuel launching a prediction market in partnership with CME.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

You have obviously Robinhood launching in partnership with SIG.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

You have DraftKings launching a prediction market.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

So what's abundantly clear is that if you are a prediction market predominantly servicing sports, that is just going to become an infinitely competitive landscape in 2026.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And if you go on Dune, you check out what Kalshi's doing, over 50% of their open interest is on sports and over 90% of their volume is on sports.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

Polymarket also has a decent amount of volume in OI and sports, but nowhere close to the same as Kalshi does.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And even beyond that, you actually do have individual players like NoBig, for instance, who are, for lack of better words, unbundling prediction markets.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And they're creating a prediction market just for sports.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And there's others doing that as well.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

So again, people know that sports betting is super lucrative.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

Parlays are even more lucrative.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

And pretty much anybody I believe who has existing distribution capabilities and licensing, they are going to go launch a prediction market if it proves to have meaningful margins.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

The last thing I'll mention on this note is I also don't think Polymarket will launch a token in 2026.

Bankless
The Duopolies of 2026: Ethereum & Solana, Coinbase & Robinhood, Polymarket & Kalshi | Ryan, David & Arnav Pagidyala

Do you think Calci will?