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Dick Schoof

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
24 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Yes.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Yeah, that's exactly what it is, Caroline.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

And so we saw for the first time that content cost is actually going to be higher than expected.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

10% content cost growth is what they're forecasting for 2026.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

You comp that to about high single digits in prior years.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

And really, I mean, this is just a microcosm of what we're seeing on a much bigger level with the whole $83 billion acquisition of Warner.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

They're basically paying for content.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

They're basically paying to keep

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

that engagement level up.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

And I think what was a little bit disconcerting from, you know, there was obviously a lot of nuance in the earnings report, but what we saw was, you know, engagement growth.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Yes, you know, it did grow, but by a very modest amount, only about 2% the whole year.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

And remember, this was a year where they really had blockbuster content.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

I mean, whether it was Stranger Things or Squid Game or

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

K-pop demon hunters, I mean, this was the year when we should have seen a much bigger uptick in engagement growth, which kind of really then leads us to the fact that this is why they need to buy Warner, and this is why you have that acquisition.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Yeah, regulatory risk definitely is a big one there, Ed.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Definitely much higher for Netflix compared to Paramount, especially as you look at the streaming concentration in some of the European markets.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

You just look at the basic size of Netflix subscriber base, it's about 325 million.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

Combine that with about 125 million with Warner Brothers, again, you have 450 million.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

And in some of those European markets, that risk is really, really high.

Bloomberg Tech
Trump Rattles Europe Defense Tech Stocks

It's high even in the United States at about 35%, 40%, but definitely higher there.

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