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Diego Parrilla

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
646 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And what if the market goes down another 20 or 40 or 60, which is how it feels at that time.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And so most humans will naturally be frozen and just cross their fingers and say, and a month later, six months or whatever, the equities recover and your protection disappears.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And so you ended up with a nice mark-to-market hedge, but you didn't really take the opportunity, which was let's monetize the 20 and use those $20 to buy equities at $80.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

which buy me roughly 25 units.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

So by the time market goes back to par, I'm no longer back to 100, I'm up to 125.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And that non-linearity of portfolio construction, that embracing the volatility of the markets in a way that we do it in the most unemotional way possible.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And to do that, you need convexity because you need a way where your protection, you know, if you take those profits, you know that as the market goes down, you keep going.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

generating that protection.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

That convexity is so important and effectively results in this rebalancing alpha.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And that non-linearity of portfolio construction is not well enough understood and is the kind of work that I've done with the

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

with the white paper.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

A lot of my work has been dedicated to that defense and teamwork element of portfolio construction.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

So let's think of Michael Jordan and again Sean Array, the Chicago Bulls.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

So let's say Michael Jordan scored 50 points per game and the Chicago Bulls won games and series and championships.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

But there are other guys and, you know, this guy called Dennis Rodman, who is particularly well-known.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

And Dennis Rodman did a bunch of things for the team, right?

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

One of the things he did is he blocked the other guys.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

So you, Alan, are going to shoot.

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

Maybe it was going in, but his hand is on the way and it's no longer in, right?

The MOST Important Thing
What Dennis did? The secret sauce of making and keeping money!

So think about Markowitz, mean variance, risk return.