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Donnacha Ó Beacháin

👤 Speaker
360 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

So, of course, the more serious your crime, the bigger an incentive you had to take up that contract.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But I'm just back from Central Asia and large numbers of people from Central Asia, they're economic migrants in Russia.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Their own economies don't do that well.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Russia provides all sorts of opportunities to work in menial jobs.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But many of them go to Russia on the understanding that they're going to work in menial jobs and then they are pushed into fighting in Ukraine.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

They're often offered citizenship and then they're told that the first duty of citizenship is to fight in Ukraine.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And then you have all those ethnic minorities within Russia that we often don't hear about.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

The

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

The people of Tuva, for example, the people in Buryatia, you're much more likely to die fighting in Ukraine if you're from Buryatia, a place I visited many, many times.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Buryat people, they're Mongol people, essentially, Russified Mongol people who are Buddhists traditionally.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

You're much more likely to die fighting in Ukraine if you're from that far eastern region of the Russian Federation than if you're from Moscow or St.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Petersburg.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

I mean, usually you have diplomatic negotiations that might lead somewhere when you have a mutually hurting stalemate, when both sides have a reason to negotiate.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

As of yet, I mean, Ukraine has said, you know, more or less from the moment Trump first put forward the idea, which is now more than a year ago, that there should be, you know, an immediate ceasefire.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

That was Trump's major idea, ceasefire, then negotiations.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

The Ukrainians from the beginning have said yes to ceasefire, yes to negotiations, and the Russians have said no to ceasefire.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

which is the very first step.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

They said, we continue the killings.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

When you want to negotiate with us, fine, but we'll continue killing in the meantime.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And they've made it clear that the starting price for any meaningful negotiations are more or less conceding, as I said, what in advance, what Russia has not been able to acquire militarily after many years of trying.