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Donnacha Ó Beacháin

👤 Speaker
360 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And there was, of course, the conflict, which almost nobody remembers.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Brutal one in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

That was the first conflict.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

real testing ground for drones in many respects.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Back in 2020, 2023, it concluded there was around 250,000 people were ethnically cleansed from the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But what was remarkable about that, again, was the importance of drones.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And these were, at the time, the Bayaktar drones from Turkey.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But as I said, the Iranian drones are important.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

The Russians and Ukrainians are now producing their own drones.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

So it has transformed warfare

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

in a way.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And we are left with this stalemate.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Unfortunately, Russia has shown no signs that it wants to give up on its objectives to acquire as much of Ukraine as it can.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Unfortunately, it's been emboldened by the administration of Donald Trump, who has

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

try to coerce the Ukrainians to hand over territory which the Russians have not been able to acquire, you know, despite trying for 12 years.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Because really the first invasion goes back to 2014 and there are cities like Kramatorsk, for example, in the next region, which they've been trying for 12 years to acquire and they haven't been able to.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And Donald Trump is saying, you know, if you're interested in peace, you should hand these over to Russia.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But the Ukrainians know part of the fact that

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

there are people living there who don't want to be part of Russia and they've seen what happens to people when they are forcibly occupied by Russia.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

They also know that strategically it would be a killer blow for Ukraine because these are fortress cities which protect Russians from further advancing and after that you have relatively open plains.