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Downtown Josh Brown

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4457 total appearances
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Voice samples: 6
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So what is your view on the data center build-out?

2032.555 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

I think Munger or Buffett, I can't remember which one said this, you would make the price, I'll set the terms.

2204.868 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And it sounds like you would rather be on the term setting side than the pricing side.

2209.674 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And your investors own equities too.

2260.724 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Correct.

2264.089 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And they're already probably all in.

2264.27 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You know, we were talking about the Shiller-Cape ratio, screaming about it literally in 2015.

2659.603 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

People were getting alarmed.

2664.771 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So I'm not making a prediction on fall returns, but by traditional metrics, valuations have looked stretched forever.

2665.993 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And these tech giants have just continued to rewrite.

2671.742 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And margins just keep growing.

2675.228 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

What we thought was possible.

2676.83 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Yeah, not great.

2709.94 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But Dan, sorry to cut you off, but I think one of the problems or one of the things that lulled investors recently into complacency is those bonds performed in 2022 because there was no recession and they're plain vanilla bonds.

2954.433 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And they don't, investors in general don't really understand that it was all interest rate risk.

2965.664 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And so as interest rates went up, their government bonds got destroyed.

2970.368 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And these risky corporate loans to middle market companies returned nine to 11%.

2973.671 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And so it further made those coupons much more enticing.

2978.295 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Yeah.

3247.559 View full episode β†’
The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Well, your piece, we started the show with the rupture.

3247.92 View full episode β†’