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Dr. Alan O'Sullivan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1737 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

We had what we describe as the illiberal democracy of Viktor Orban in Hungary.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And we're recording this on the 17th of April.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And we have a week since Peter Magyar, I think you pronounce his name, won the election in Hungary, his TISA party.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

But what struck for me was that there was a huge turnout, 80%, something like 80% turnout, number one, which was really impressive.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And number two was the scale of his victory.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

So there's two things that jumped out for me.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

What's your reading of it?

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

I think our lived experience, this so-called global peace dividend arose from, you know, the misery and disaster of World War II and all the institutions that were created there.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

They were created as a consequence of all that misery.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And we often forget that.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And just the point I'd make on your social contract, you talked about Trump.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

I always say to the

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

to students that President Trump didn't emerge in a vacuum you could go back to China's ascension to the WTO all this hollowing out of the middle class that happened you know we followed the rules it just hasn't worked out for us we want to try something else and that

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

populism thrives in that type of environment I think populist politics but just a final point I share your pessimism on Hungary also because just for something that might get your opinion on finally is that am I right in saying that

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

Hungary is very reliant, number one, on cheap Russian energy.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

That's the first thing I would say.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

And another interesting point I would say is that Orban fulfilled a very interesting and useful role for perhaps some of the European countries that weren't as enthusiastic about Ukraine.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

He perhaps was a mudguard as such.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

That mudguard now is gone.

The MOST Important Thing
Putin's Gamble and the geopolitical chess game

So it might reveal some interesting consequences over the next couple of months.