Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Dr. Alan O'Sullivan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1737 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

So again, it's not a good look when you get institutions telling investors you can't have your money, right?

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

So what we can see is that

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

The scale of the redemptions, something like 20 billion redemptions over a short enough period of time.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

Big players like Cliffwater, Blue Owl.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

What this chart shows is that the redemptions honored versus the unmet redemptions.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

So the likes of Black Rock, I think Blackstone, I'm not sure.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

Black Rock, definitely redemptions.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

just give all the money back to investors.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

Oak Tree, for example, was another one.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

But then the likes of Apollo, Ares, Blackstone actually gave the money back as well.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

But Blue Owl had redemptions of over $4 billion.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

And I think approximately 25% of those have been met with the others then into some type of moratorium.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

So the bottom line here is from looking at the pie chart above,

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

Whether this is systemic, the question of whether something like this is systemic is, what is the exposure of the systemically important banks, those big commercial banks, to this sector?

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

And it's low.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

It looks like loans to private equity funds, private credit is around 3% each.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

So most of the banks have learned their lesson post-financial crisis.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

And

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

most of their asset books, their loans is commercial real estate.

The MOST Important Thing
The MIT Website, Newsletter and Market Wrap

Again, that could be a problem.