Dr. Alexander Wissner-Gross
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I do think we get that.
I do think it's just a matter of time and battery energy densities and and other progress.
So by 2028, do I think we get Werner's smart glasses with compelling long life augmented reality or mixed reality?
Yeah, sure.
But I also think
Oh, boy.
But I also don't think it matters an enormous amount.
Like, yes, it'll be great and it'll be popular.
I think we are merging with the machines.
I do think augmented reality and wearables are part of the solution.
I think ingestibles are going to be part of the solution.
I'd be sorely disappointed if, by the end of this decade, we don't have many people swallowing computers.
We see the beginnings of it right now with Pilbot-type form factors.
I did a projection, something I think friend of the pod, Ray, would be proud of.
If you extrapolate the typical size of a computer needed, this is over history, over the past 15 to 20 years, needed to achieve a gigaflop of compute, which historically, if you look back at Apple new product announcements, Apple historically has waited for new devices to pass a gigaflop before they release it.
It's true with the original Apple Watch, true with the original iMac.
true with the original iPhone.
If you extrapolate then the typical size of a computer that, at time of launch, passed a gigaflop, you extrapolate that forward, you find that by, not mid-28, but by the mid-2040s, around the time Ray says we're going to hit his version of a technological singularity, the size of the computer hits approximately the size of a eukaryotic human cell.
So what am I most excited about?
Well, I have a laundry list.