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Dr. Emilia Javorsky

👤 Speaker
279 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

Even if that were to be true.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

The second piece of this that's really important to think about is we don't live in a world of infinite capital.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

If we'd lived in a world of infinite resources and one bucket wasn't coming out of another, then there's a different argument to be made.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

But we're seeing that biotech is at a 10-year low in terms of venture funding of new ideas.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

And venture funding is really where you see the new breakthrough, exciting, high-risk types of projects that really can move the needle for patients.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

We're living in a time where we're reducing our investments in sort of basic science, in science infrastructure, in data collection.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

And so the essence here is if we're going to take money away from doing the things we know will unblock progress, then we better be really confident that that is actually the fastest way to save lives.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

If you look at the amount of money going into building ASI and the infrastructure associated with that, that's an unprecedented amount of money in terms of investment in a technology.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

In 2026 alone, they're looking at $540 billion plus, right?

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

And if we want to compare and contrast that to, let's say, the National Cancer Institute, which was a pretty good barometer of what are we investing in the public in the basic science and understanding and moving the needle in oncology, that's only $7.2 billion.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

So it is a fraction of the amount on an annual spend that we're spending on actually solving the problem of curing cancer as opposed to an ASI spend.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

So I think the AI for science promise gets all kind of bundled into one and cancer gets put into that along with physics and along with manufacturing and along with chemistry.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

But it's really important to break those out because physics and biology are very different phenomenon.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

And physics is a domain where, and math is similarly, where we're seeing this correlation between capabilities and progress in those sciences, where we have basic rules.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

Like we know the laws of physics, we know the rules of physics, we know the rules of math.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

But for biology, there are no first principles to work with.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

There are no actual rules of the road to feed to an AI to learn and to model from and to analyze.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

And people say, well, you have physics.

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

Everything's physics at the end of the day, right?

Your Undivided Attention
Why Superintelligence Won’t Cure Cancer

You have physics, you have everything.